Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy) 🌤️ ...


	Alcoyano		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.85	3.05	4.2
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.83	3.29	4.66
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.81	3.22	4.33
	1.82	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	4.29 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
50.1%

Draw
28.8%

Athletic Bilbao B
21.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

29.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

29.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Users Predictions: Alcoyano will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Bilbao B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alcoyano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Alcoyano - Calahorra	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Sociedad B - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Alcoyano - Eldense	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Amorebieta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2 ✺
19.11.22	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.11.22	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.11.26	Alcoyano - Real Murcia B	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Alcoyano - Mallorca	✺
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	✺

Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B