Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.9	3.05	2.53
	2.71	3.03	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.64	2.86	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.05)	2.94 ↓ (3.04)	2.56 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
33.3%

Draw
31.1%

Sabadell
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 50%). Sabadell (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 17. Martinez P. 20. Santos S. 21. Pujol E. 3. Zoilo A. 10. Jardi J. 6. Prendes M. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 19. Fuentes J. 9. Omoigui C.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 5. Bonaldo 3. Fornes G. 23. Priego J. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 7. Ripoll T. 16. Godoy A. 17. Coscia A.
Substitutes
7. Abdallah K. 5. Alcala P. 12. Almpanis C. 23. Baselga M. 2. Camus S. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 24. Gelardo A. 11. Jimenez A. 16. Moi 35. Pavon M. 22. Perez H. 29. Subirats O.	2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 19. Lopez J. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 18. Ortega J. 9. Rodri 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Bonaldo 🟨,
23', Liameed Q. 🟨,
27', Godoy A. 🟨,
40', Santos S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Godoy A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
46', Ripoll T. ↓, Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↑,
59', Omoigui C. ↓, Baselga M. ↑,
60', Fuentes J. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
65', Priego J. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
77', Lazaro Cervera J. C. 🟨,
78', Prendes M. ↓, Perez H. ↑,
78', Martinez P. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
81', Astals D. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
81', Coscia A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
82', Montalvo M. 🟨,
87', Sanz O. 🟨,
90+5', Fuoli D. 🟨,
90+5', Jardi J. ↓, Pavon M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 3.

Recent form of Gimnàstic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sabadell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.26	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Antequera	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Betis B	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.26	Sabadell - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Cartagena - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sabadell - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ibiza - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.05.24	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0
24.09.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
04.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	0:1
01.05.22	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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