Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Sabadell		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.9
	2.52	2.72	3
	2.5	2.82	3.28
	2.51	2.68	3.36	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.61	2.82	3.03
	2.45	2.6	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.69)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)	3.1 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
36.4%

Draw
34%

Atlético Madrid B
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

33.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabadell (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 4. Garcia C. 3. Fornes G. 21. Sergi 23. Priego J. 5. Bonaldo 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 17. Coscia A. 7. Ripoll T.	13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 5. Martinez D. 15. Puric A. 3. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. 18. Bellotti M. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Llorente M.
Substitutes
2. Aleman C. 8. Cortes S. 27. Estebe L. 11. Martinez R. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 26. Tolosa A. 29. Utges J. 32. Vallina M. (G) 31. Zamora A.	20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 9. Janneh O. 11. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Ripoll T. 🟨,
31', Serrano J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Coscia A. ⚽,
45+4', Astals D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Serrano J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
60', Ortiz A. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
61', Fornes G. 🟨,
67', Lopez J. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,
67', Fuoli D. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Cortes S. ⚽,
76', Bellotti M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
76', Llorente M. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,
84', Ripoll T. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
84', Coscia A. ↓, Utges J. ↑,
89', Barboza M. 🟨,
89', Luque I. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
90+6', Cortes S. 🟨,
90+6', Bonar J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Sabadell has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Madrid B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético Madrid B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabadell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Sabadell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.25	CE Europa - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sabadell - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Teruel	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
19.07.20	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 penalties

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