Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	A Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Sabadell		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.6	6.25
	1.5	3.75	6.3
	1.51	3.66	7.47
	1.68	3.00	6.76	Watch
	1.5	3.3	6
	1.51	3.7	6.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.14)	6.63 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
60%

Draw
26.2%

Hércules
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sabadell - Hércules Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabadell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sabadell will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 4. Garcia C. 5. Bonaldo 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. (C) 24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 14. Astals D. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 17. Coscia A. 9. Rodri	13. Blazic A. (G) 10. Espinosa N. (C) 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 24. Jimenez J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 23. Calavera J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 17. De Leon J. 19. Sol F. 26. Sergio G. F.
Substitutes
2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 3. Fornes G. 40. Garcia Sabado M. 16. Godoy A. 11. Martinez R. 18. Ortega J. 13. Ortega J. (G) 23. Priego J. 34. Rivera Clavero F. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A.	31. Abdelilah H. 3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 16. Fede 27. Mamourou J. 8. Mangada C. 21. Retu 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Aguilar Elizalde E. ⚽,
67', Lopez J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
67', Garcia C. ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
67', Rodri ↓, Tito ↑,
68', De Leon J. ↓, Traore P. ↑,
74', Monsalve N. 🟨,
75', Sol F. ↓, Abdelilah H. ↑,
75', Calavera J. ↓, Fede ↑,
76', Sergio G. F. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
76', Coscia A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
85', Monsalve N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
87', Astals D. ↓, Aleman C. ↑,
90+1', Espinosa N. 🟨,
90+1', Godoy A. 🟨,
90+3', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sabadell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabadell is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabadell won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Sevilla B - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sabadell - Betis B	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Villarreal B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sabadell - CE Europa	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.04.26	Hércules - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hércules - Marbella	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Betis B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.26	Hércules - Sabadell	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.02.20	Sabadell - Hércules	1:2
15.09.19	Hércules - Sabadell	0:2
20.04.19	Hércules - Sabadell	2:0
02.12.18	Sabadell - Hércules	2:1
21.01.18	Sabadell - Hércules	1:1
03.09.17	Hércules - Sabadell	2:0

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