Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Marbella

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.85	3.2	4.15
	1.81	3.31	4.59
	1.32	4.39	10.91	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4
	1.86	3.22	4.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.35 ↑ (3.16)	5.41 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
54.3%

Draw
28.2%

Marbella
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hércules - Marbella Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hércules (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hércules (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Blazic A. (G) 21. Retu (C) 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 24. Jimenez J. 16. Fede 23. Calavera J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 9. Toril A. 11. Ropero U.	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 23. Escassi A. (C) 4. Castellano A. 3. Martinez A. 20. Cambra J. 16. Ruiz A. 8. Eugeni 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Sanchez V. 24. Selma D.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 29. Carrillo J. 10. Espinosa N. 27. Mamourou J. 8. Mangada C. 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)	17. Alexiel 7. Awudu T. 15. Gabri 10. Gil A. 26. Navarro C. 31. Pineda D. 22. Rodriguez J. 29. Vasile C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Escassi A. 🟥,
32', 1 - 0, Escudero A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Toril A. ⚽,
45+3', Selma D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eugeni ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
55', Retu 🟨,
62', Fede ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
70', Jimenez J. 🟨,
72', Toril A. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
72', Ropero U. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
78', Escudero A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
78', Retu ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
81', Castellano A. ↓, Gabri ↑,
81', Selma D. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
86', Sanchez V. ↓, Alexiel ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hércules is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.03.26	Betis B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Hércules	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.26	Marbella - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Real Murcia - Marbella	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Marbella - CE Europa	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1
25.01.25	Marbella - Hércules	1:2
20.11.24	Hércules - Marbella	2:1

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