Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ahmedov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	18:00	CBC Sport, Idman TV


	Sabah		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.35	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.52	2.95
	2.44	3.47	2.57	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.85
	2.3	3.76	2.72	Watch
	2.18	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	2.79 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
41.2%

Draw
25.9%

Qarabağ Agdam
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (G) 10. Isayev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 4. McCarthy A. 20. Mickels J. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 80. Zedadka A.	1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 29. Cephas R. 33. Diego Rosa 55. Huseynov B. (C) 8. Jankovic M. 20. Kady Borges 21. Kashchuk O. 5. Langa B. 2. Matheus Silva 9. Sawo Z. 4. Varkonyi B.
Substitutes
9. Aliyev K. 18. Carlos Eduardo 5. Dashdamirov R. 37. Du Queiroz 88. Fernandes R. 33. Junior Almeida 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Mbina O. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 8. Nwachukwu C. 34. Severina X.	32. Cabrayilzada H. 39. Gnali J. 12. Hasanov T. (G) 19. Ismaheel T. 11. Khadra R. 88. Lobato S. 25. Makreckis C. 7. Mouaddib J. 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 22. Qurbanly M.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Jankovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Isayev A. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
61', Parris K. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
71', Kashchuk O. 🟨,
72', Kashchuk O. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
72', Diego Rosa ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
72', Sawo Z. ↓, Mouaddib J. ↑,
85', Du Queiroz 🟨,
88', Nwachukwu C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Sabah may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sabah has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:40 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sabah against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.4:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sabah FC	8	6	2	0	18:1	17	20
3	Qarabag	8	5	3	0	14:7	7	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Sabah - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.10.26	Gabala - Sabah	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Sabah - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.10.26	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sabah - İmişli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.10.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	3:3 ✺
11.10.26	İmişli - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Şəfa	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
22.04.26	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	0:1
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3
18.12.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1

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