Match Info

Azerbaijan Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)


	Sabah		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.25	2.32	Watch
	2.66	3.3	2.34
	2.58	3.47	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	3.04	3.34	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.29)	3.29 ↑ (3)	2.32 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
33.2%

Draw
27.6%

Qarabağ Agdam
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabah's form might have worsened.

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (C) 10. Isayev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 40. Ygor Nogueira 80. Zedadka A.	99. Kochalski M. (G) 11. Addai E. 27. Bayramov T. 18. Dani Bolt 17. Duran C. 8. Jankovic M. 20. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. (C) 35. Pedro Bicalho
Substitutes
9. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 5. Dashdamirov R. 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Mbina O. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 11. Parris K. 70. Sekidika J. 2. Seydiyev A.	97. Buntic F. (G) 24. Gnali J. 55. Huseynov B. 21. Kashchuk O. 9. Montiel J. 22. Qurbanly M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 77. Sheydayev R. 10. Zoubir A.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
12', Solvet S. 🟨,
17', Pokatilov S. 🟨,
36', Kochalski M. 🟥,
41', Leandro Andrade ↓, Buntic F. ↑,
44', Malouda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Duran C. ⚽,
74', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Simic V. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Mbina O. ⚽,
90', Addai E. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
90', Kady Borges ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
90+6', Duran C. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.

Sabah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Qarabağ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:40. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.03.26	Sabah - Sumgayit	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWTW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan	7:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.03.26	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
18.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	0:1
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3
18.12.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1
22.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	1:1

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