The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qarabağ Agdam 61.1%
Draw 22.9%
Neftchi Baku 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
21.7%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.2%
22.9%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Qarabağ Agdam will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 11. Addai E. 7. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 15. Leandro Andrade 81. Medina K. 3. Mmaee S. 35. Pedro Bicalho 10. Zoubir A. (C)
13. Piric K. (G) 45. Aboubakar V. 15. Badalov E. 6. D'Almeida S. 11. Faraj I. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 77. Sacko F. 24. Seck M. 10. Vargas F.
Substitutes
97. Buntic F. (G) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 17. Duran C. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 9. Montiel J. 13. Mustafazada B. 77. Sheydayev R.
1. Balayev E. (G) 93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 28. Curci A. 47. Mammadov M. 22. Ortiz L. 23. Rezabala J. 7. Safarov E. 19. Salyanskiy A. 9. Sambou B.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.
Abasov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mahmudov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Bayramov T. ⚽,
59', Sacko F. 🟨,
69', Chriso ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
69', Leandro Andrade ↓, Duran C. ↑,
70', Faraj I. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
74', Dani Bolt 🟨,
76', Aboubakar V. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
78', Akhundzade N. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
78', Dani Bolt ↓, Matheus Silva ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Duran C. ⚽,
87', D'Almeida S. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
89', Addai E. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 5.
Recent performances by Qarabağ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neftchi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Qarabağ is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:12. (average 2.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:6. (average 3.1:0.6).
Azerbaijan
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Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 
Addai E. 
Chriso 
Dani Bolt 
Leandro Andrade 
Medina K. 
Mmaee S. 
Zoubir A. (C) 
Piric K. (G) 
Aboubakar V. 
D'Almeida S. 
Mathew I. 
Sacko F. 
Seck M. 
Vargas F. 
Buntic F. (G) 
Jankovic M. 
Kashchuk O. 
Kochalski M. (G) 
Montiel J. 
Costin C. 
Curci A. 
Ortiz L. 
Rezabala J. 
Sambou B. 
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