The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacachispas 31.5%
Draw 31.4%
Brown de Adrogué 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
30%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
30.9%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brown de Adrogué's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brown de Adrogué, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Barreiro E. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 8. Monje A. 5. Priori R. 10. Campuzano C. 11. Molina D. 7. Martinez J. 9. Arrieta S.
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Bogado J. 2. Aguirre C. 6. Pieres M. 3. Guerrero B. 10. Sproat M. 5. Minnicelli A. 8. Castano A. 7. Canete J. 9. Meaurio N. 11. Farias L.
Substitutes
19. Brotzman S. 20. Hector Canteros 16. Magnano T. 13. Moschen E. 14. Toldo F. 18. Torres L. 12. Troncoso F. (G) 17. Villalba J. 15. Visco A.
19. Aguilar B. 18. Enrique F. 17. Gonzalez A. 13. Gonzalez V. 15. Liporace I. 20. Lopez B. 16. Lovazzano L. 14. Rodriguez N. 12. Wysocki M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Farias L. ⚽,
34', Monje A. 🟨,
35', Guerrero B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Arrieta S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barreiro E. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
73', Castano A. ↓, Lovazzano L. ↑,
73', Farias L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
79', Campuzano C. ↓, Hector Canteros ↑,
81', Cruz A. 🟨,
85', Arrieta S. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
85', Martinez J. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
85', Canete J. ↓, Aguilar B. ↑,
85', Sproat M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
88', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
Sacachispas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brown de Adrogué is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Sacachispas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Argentina
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Garcia Rossi S. (G) 
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