Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Sacachispas		Deportivo Iztapa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.12	3.3	2.95
	2.15	3.49	3.07
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.34	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.82)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	2.96 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
42.2%

Draw
27.1%

Deportivo Iztapa
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

18.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Iztapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Iztapa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacachispas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Sacachispas - Deportivo Iztapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sacachispas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Iztapa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Iztapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sacachispas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.11.20	Comunicaciones - Sacachispas	4:0 ✺
30.10.20	Sacachispas - Municipal	1:3 ✺
25.10.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Sacachispas	3:3 ✺
17.10.20	Sacachispas - Maglódi	3:3 ✺
10.10.20	Sacachispas - Deportivo Sanarate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTT
- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	3:1 ✺
17.10.20	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Iztapa	3:0 ✺
11.10.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Xelajú	5:0 ✺
04.10.20	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLWW

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