Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Malacateco		Deportivo Iztapa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.55	3.96	5.74
	1.5	3.98	5.95	Watch
	1.57	3.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	3.87 ↑ (3.84)	5.47 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
59.6%

Draw
23.7%

Deportivo Iztapa
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Deportivo Iztapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 2.

Malacateco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Iztapa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Iztapa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malacateco is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Malacateco won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	0:1 ✺
01.03.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	4:3 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Achuapa	4:0 ✺
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Malacateco	2:2
13.11.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Malacateco	2:1
31.08.22	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	1:1
02.04.22	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	4:0
02.02.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Malacateco	0:1
27.10.21	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	7:1
21.08.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Malacateco	4:2

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