Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.71	3.55	2.03
	3.71	3.72	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.92	3.42	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (4.1)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
24.8%

Draw
26.4%

Montedio Yamagata
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sagamihara - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Montedio Yamagata will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miura M. (G) 19. Okita S. 37. Yamauchi R. 5. Kato D. 16. Takano R. 4. Shimakawa T. 8. Kambe K. 7. Tanahashi A. 6. Tokunaga Y. 15. Maeda T. 9. Sasaki K.	1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 15. Kawai A. 3. Kumamoto Y. 4. Nishimura K. 49. Sakamoto K. 7. Nakamura R. 17. Terayama T. 25. Kokubu S. 10. Kida R. 11. Disaro A. S. 24. Hiraga S.
Substitutes
14. Ando T. 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 10. Nakayama R. 22. Sugimoto D. (G) 24. Sugimoto R. 17. Takeuchi T. 23. Takusari Y. 2. Watahiki K.	55. Horikane S. 13. Nodake H. 45. Shibuya T. (G) 22. Shirowa H. 29. Soma J. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Thalisson 14. Yanagimachi K. 20. Yoshio Kaina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sasaki K. ⚽, Takano R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kawai A. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
46', Kokubu S. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Kida R. ⚽, Nodake H. (A),
69', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
73', Hiraga S. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
76', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
76', Maeda T. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Okita S. ⚽,
82', Kambe K. 🟨,
83', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
85', Tanahashi A. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
85', Takano R. ↓, Watahiki K. ↑,
87', Terayama T. ↓, Thalisson ↑,

Preview

Montedio Yamagata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Montedio Yamagata is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shonan Bellmare - Sagamihara	4:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	0:5 ✺
24.11.25	Nara Club - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Yokohama FC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	3:2
Japan J2 League
16.10.21	Sagamihara - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
30.05.21	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	2:0

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