Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.57	3.25	2.68
	2.26	3.55	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.62	3.18	2.68	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
37.7%

Draw
28.3%

Tochigi City
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sagamihara - Tochigi City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 18. Miki K. 37. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 16. Takano R. 23. Takusari Y. 8. Kambe K. 15. Maeda T. 6. Tokunaga Y. 20. Kawabata Y. 14. Ando T.	16. Kodama J. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 28. Konishi K. 17. Chinen T. 33. Inui T. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 32. Koike Y. 29. Saito K. 9. Suzuki M. 7. Mori T.
Substitutes
1. Miura M. (G) 10. Nakayama R. 19. Okita S. 9. Sasaki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 24. Sugimoto R. 17. Takeuchi T. 7. Tanahashi A. 2. Watahiki K.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 42. Jonjic M. 19. Karlsson D.M. 88. Masukake Y. 24. Nishiya K. 13. Oshima T. 20. Pedro Augusto 77. Tanaka P. 8. Yamashita K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Chinen T. (Own goal),
24', Ando T. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
25', Inui T. 🟨,
38', Sasaki K. 🟨,
40', Yamauchi R. 🟨,
45+1', Kawabata Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mori T. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
64', Sasaki K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
64', Miki K. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
64', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
69', Saito K. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
69', Suzuki M. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
74', Kawabata Y. ↓, Watahiki K. ↑,
77', Koike Y. ↓, Tanaka P. ↑,
82', Karlsson D.M. 🟨,
83', Kato M. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
84', Maeda T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Sagamihara - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sagamihara - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	1:0 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Sagamihara	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLLW
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Tochigi City - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi City	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:4 ✺
04.04.26	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	1:0 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	1:0 penalties
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	0:5
15.02.25	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	2:1

Upcoming Matches