Match Info

J3 League - Round 33

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kochi United		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.2	3.34	3.09
	2.36	3.47	2.74	Watch
	2.23	3.1	3.05	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	2.9 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
40.5%

Draw
28.1%

Sagamihara
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kochi United - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 4. Kobayashi D. 37. Fukagawa D. 72. Fukumiya K. 2. Yoshida T. 8. Takano Y. 26. Suto N. 16. Kozuki S. 15. Kobayashi R. 19. Mizuno H. 18. Toya T.	46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 20. Yamauchi R. 54. Watahiki K. 26. Nishikubo S. 6. Tokunaga Y. 27. Nishiyama T. 7. Kawano R. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A.
Substitutes
39. Joppu S. 7. Kanehara A. 88. Kudo M. 66. Miyoshi R. 3. Nakata E. 21. Osugi S. (G) 10. Sasaki T. 38. Suzuki S. 29. Uchida Y.	22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 36. Nakashio D. 8. Osako R. 19. Satori K. 16. Takano R. 25. Tanaka R.
Coaches
Shiraishi T.	Stalph Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Kawano R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Mizuno H. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
68', Kawano R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
75', Nakayama R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
76', Takagi A. ↓, Satori K. ↑,
77', Toya T. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
79', Fukagawa D. 🟨,
83', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Tanaka R. ↑,
83', Sugimoto R. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
83', Nishikubo S. ↓, Miki K. ↑,
89', Takano Y. ↓, Kudo M. ↑,
89', Kobayashi R. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
90', Suto N. ↓, Joppu S. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Muto Y. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Kochi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sagamihara - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 33.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
18.10.25	Ryūkyū - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Kochi United - Gifu	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi City - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
19.10.25	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sagamihara - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0

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