Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Saint-Étienne		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	2	3.6	3.3
	1.98	3.54	3.85
	2.02	3.51	3.78
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.91	3.65	3.78
	2	3.5	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.68)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	3.57 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
47.5%

Draw
26.5%

Nîmes
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Étienne's form might have worsened.

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nîmes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nîmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Saint Étienne - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Nîmes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Auxerre - Saint-Étienne	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
02.12.23	Red Star - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Nîmes - Orleans	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.23	Roannais Foot 42 - Nîmes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Versailles - Nîmes	6:0 ✺
03.11.23	Nîmes - Épinal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.02.23	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2
06.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	1:1
French Ligue 1
04.04.21	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:2
20.12.20	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:2
25.01.20	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
18.12.19	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2
French Ligue 1
29.09.19	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:1

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