Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Saint George		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.72	3.65
	2.1	2.63	3.6
	2.13	2.72	3.78
	2.14	2.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.12)	2.72 ↓ (2.76)	3.7 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
42.5%

Draw
33.2%

Dire Dawa City
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

33%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

32.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Dire Dawa City aligns with the current prediction.

Saint George - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gulilat H. ⚽,
23', Hassen H. 🟥,
36', 2 - 0, Yalew A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Fitsumi T. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, Yalew A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Saint George could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. George	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.01.26	Hawassa City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Saint George	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Saint George	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTTT
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
09.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:3 ✺
25.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
12.03.25	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	0:0
18.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	0:2
14.06.24	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	1:0
27.01.24	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	0:3
08.07.23	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	1:1
01.03.23	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	2:1
11.04.22	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	3:0

Saint George - Dire Dawa City