Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Hawassa City		Saint George

	1	X	2
	3	2.68	2.45
	3.17	2.71	2.48	Watch
	3	2.5	2.45
	3.07	2.73	2.44	Watch
	3.14	2.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.81)	2.68 ↓ (2.81)	2.44 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
29.4%

Draw
33.7%

Saint George
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Hawassa City - Saint George Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Saint George will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Saint George (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint George (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Bekele S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	St. George	38	14	12	12	33:31	2	54
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50

Last Results with these Odds

Saint George - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Hawassa City - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWT
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Saint George	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Saint George	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
16.05.25	Hawassa City - Saint George	2:1
25.01.25	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:1
05.05.24	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:2
14.12.23	Hawassa City - Saint George	0:3
17.05.23	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:1
22.11.22	Hawassa City - Saint George	0:3
30.04.22	Hawassa City - Saint George	0:3

Hawassa City - Saint George: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide