Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Saint George		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.50	2.70	2.15
	3.55	2.68	2.18
	3.79	2.65	2.29
	3.94	2.47	2.34	Watch
	3.50	2.50	2.20
	3.65	2.67	2.21
	2.82	2.82	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.8)	2.64 ↓ (2.8)	2.28 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
25.7%

Draw
34.4%

Mechal
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

33.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint George's form might have worsened.

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint George, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Saint George - Mechal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Saint George (3.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint George (votes: 1 - 50%). Mechal (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Fitsumi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Gulilat H. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Yabsra G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Saint George is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mechal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Saint George won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
6	St. George	38	14	12	12	33:31	2	54

Last Results with these Odds

Saint George - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Welayta Dicha - Saint George	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Saint George - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWL
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Mechal	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Mechal - Adama City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.01.26	Mechal - Saint George	2:0
22.06.25	Saint George - Mechal	1:1
03.12.24	Mechal - Saint George	4:3

Saint George - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide