The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mechal 52.9%
Draw 29.1%
Arba Minch 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
31.5%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
30.4%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Mechal - Arba Minch Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mechal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arba Minch will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tegegn A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Fatuddin J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Teodoros N. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Mechal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arba Minch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mechal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mechal is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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