Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Mechal		Adama City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.75
	1.78	3.17	5.11
	1.81	3.04	4.86	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.6
	1.91	3	4.69
	1.96	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.96)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	4.64 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
50%

Draw
30.3%

Adama City
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Mechal - Adama City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mechal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 16).

Mechal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adama City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mechal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mechal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Ethio Electric - Mechal	0:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Sidama Coffee - Mechal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTWW
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.12.25	Adama City - Mechal	1:3
21.04.25	Adama City - Mechal	0:2
04.11.24	Mechal - Adama City	2:0

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