Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.88	2.1
	3.75	2.93	2.07
	3.74	2.81	2.16	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.1
	3.4	2.93	2.3
	2.8	2.88	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.94)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
26.5%

Draw
32%

Mechal
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Getachew B. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mechal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
05.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	Saint George - Ethiopia Bunna	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Bunna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTT
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
04.05.26	Mechal - Adama City	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ethio Electric - Mechal	0:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
04.04.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
08.02.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal	1:0

Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide