Match Info

Date: 2 February 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Saint-Gilloise		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.7	3.9	3.75
	1.75	4.15	4.2
	1.64	3.9	4.3
	1.7	4.23	4.45
	1.7	3.9	4.2
	1.71	4.05	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.32)	4.02 ↑ (3.68)	4.23 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
54.9%

Draw
23.1%

Mouscron
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

25.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mouscron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+25.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	16%	20%

Saint Gilloise - Mouscron Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Mouscron will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Saint-Gilloise in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mouscron is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mouscron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saint-Gilloise is a favorite.

Mouscron is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Gilloise won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Gilloise won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.01.21	RWDM Brussels - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
23.01.21	Deinze - Saint-Gilloise	2:4 ✺
20.12.20	Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Lommel - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Saint-Gilloise - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.01.21	Eupen - Mouscron	1:1 ✺
26.01.21	Mouscron - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	0:2 ✺
19.01.21	Mouscron - Beveren	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Mouscron - Genk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.20	Mouscron - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.05.19	Saint-Gilloise - Mouscron	3:3
02.04.19	Mouscron - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
Club Friendly
24.03.17	Mouscron - Saint-Gilloise	1:1
13.07.16	Saint-Gilloise - Mouscron	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Beveren - Saint-Gilloise	✺

Saint-Gilloise - Mouscron