The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Gilloise 54.9%
Draw 23.1%
Mouscron 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
25.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
18.5%
47.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.
Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mouscron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-25.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+25.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
16%
20%
Saint Gilloise - Mouscron Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Mouscron will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 45.2% โ 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Saint-Gilloise in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Mouscron is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mouscron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Saint-Gilloise is a favorite.
Mouscron is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Gilloise won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Gilloise won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
Watch
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