Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lommel		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	3	3.5	2.18
	2.85	3.4	2.17
	2.98	3.65	2.3
	2.9	3.4	2.25
	2.94	3.6	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.52)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
31.8%

Draw
26.2%

Saint-Gilloise
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

18.3%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lommel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Gilloise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lommel - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Saint-Gilloise is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Jupiler League

Recent matches Lommel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saint-Gilloise in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lommel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saint-Gilloise will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lommel won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.04.21	Deinze - Lommel	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Lommel - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Lommel - Brugge U23	2:1 ✺
27.02.21	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.04.21	Saint-Gilloise - Seraing	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Saint-Gilloise - RWDM Brussels	2:1 ✺
05.03.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
27.02.21	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.02.21	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	3:2
13.12.20	Lommel - Saint-Gilloise	0:1
04.10.20	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	4:2
26.01.20	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	2:2
23.11.19	Lommel - Saint-Gilloise	0:0
26.10.19	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	2:1
06.09.19	Lommel - Saint-Gilloise	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.11.26	Lommel - Gent	✺
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Beveren - Saint-Gilloise	✺

Lommel - Saint-Gilloise