Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Sint-Truidense		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.7
	1.91	3.55	4.1
	1.98	3.3	3.7
	2.03	3.48	3.94
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.97	3.54	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)	3.47 ↓ (3.78)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
47.8%

Draw
27.2%

Mouscron
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

16.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	26.9%	15.4%

Sint Truidense - Mouscron Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Mouscron will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16).

Sint-Truidense has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mouscron has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sint-Truidense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mouscron is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sint-Truidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sint-Truidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sint-Truidense won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sint-Truidense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.01.21	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:2 ✺
17.01.21	Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
10.01.21	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
30.12.20	Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0 ✺
26.12.20	Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLWW
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.21	Mouscron - Beveren	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Mouscron - Genk	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	1:0 ✺
27.12.20	KV Mechelen - Mouscron	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Standard Liège - Mouscron	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	3:2
25.01.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:3
27.07.19	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	0:1
10.03.19	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:1
06.10.18	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	3:1
02.12.17	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:1
26.10.17	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	1:0

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