The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mouscron 22%
Draw 24.8%
Genk 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
24.5%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
15.2%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mouscron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.5%
10%
72.5%
Mouscron - Genk Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Mouscron will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Genk will win (votes: 29 - 72.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 58.7% โ 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League and 2 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Championship Group)).
Mouscron has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Genk has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (57%), has a chance of win league (20%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Genk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Genk is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17-34.
Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.