Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels)

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.33	5.25	9.25
	1.35	4.6	9.4	Watch
	1.36	4.75	10.73
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.35	4.94	9.55	Watch
	1.36	5.15	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	4.89 ↓ (5.15)	9.62 ↑ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
70.8%

Draw
19.4%

Standard Liège
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Saint Gilloise - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Standard will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Standard (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 50%). Standard (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 8. Zorgane A. 22. Niang O. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 30. Florucz R. 13. Rodriguez K.	1. Epolo M. (G) 24. Homawoo J. 29. Dierckx D. 25. Hautekiet I. 13. Fossey M. (C) 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 94. Nielsen C. 22. Calut A. 7. Mohr T. 17. Said R. 9. Henry T.
Substitutes
3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 21. Castro-Montes A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 12. David P. 19. Francois G. 7. Fuseini M. 4. Rasmussen M. 26. Sykes R.	11. Abid A. 5. Bolingoli B. 20. Karamoko I. 14. Kuavita L. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 19. Mitongo R. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 6. Sahabo H.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Rednic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Henry T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Florucz R. (A),
25', Henry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Said R. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
46', Calut A. ↓, Bolingoli B. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
70', Niang O. 🟨,
72', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
73', Rodriguez K. ↓, David P. ↑,
73', Nielsen C. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
73', Dierckx D. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
82', Niang O. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
82', Florucz R. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, David P. ⚽,
85', Zorgane A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3.

Union SG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Union SG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: David P. (Inactive) Fuseini M. (Injury)

There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.08.25	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
03.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:0 ✺
25.07.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
20.07.25	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Paris FC - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.25	Standard Liège - Genk	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	RAAL La Louvière - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.03.25	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	3:0
20.09.24	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	0:0
25.02.24	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	2:1
04.08.23	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	0:1
18.02.23	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	2:4
13.11.22	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	2:3
03.04.22	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	1:3

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