Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Standard Liège		Genk

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.26	3.66	2.25
	3.17	3.47	2.23
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.22	3.54	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
29.7%

Draw
26.8%

Genk
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

26.4%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Standard Liège - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Genk will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (G) 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Bates D. 18. Lawrence H. 13. Fossey M. (C) 20. Karamoko I. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 17. Said R. 10. Eckert Ayensa D.	28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 10. Ito J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 29. Mirisola R. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
39. Alberto J. R. M. 53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 80. Teuma T.	56. De Wannemacker A. 26. Lawal T. (G) 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 3. Sadick M. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 30. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
45+2', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bangoura I. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
63', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Teuma T. ↑,
63', Fossey M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
73', Eckert Ayensa D. 🟨,
73', Kongolo J. 🟨,
73', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
80', Mirisola R. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
88', Ito J. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2.

Standard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Genk might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Genk: Medina Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Standard: Fossey M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genk: Heymans D. (Injury) Karetsas K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.05.26	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWTLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Genk - Westerlo	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Charleroi - Genk	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3
10.08.25	Standard Liège - Genk	2:1
14.02.25	Standard Liège - Genk	1:2
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Genk - Standard Liège	2:1 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.07.24	Genk - Standard Liège	0:0
10.03.24	Genk - Standard Liège	1:0

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