Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Red Star

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.2
	1.72	3.65	4.45	Watch
	1.79	3.74	4.77
	1.7	3.88	4.56	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.77	3.64	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	3.64 ↓ (3.96)	4.52 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
53.7%

Draw
25.6%

Red Star
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Saint-Étienne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Saint Étienne - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 14. Kante A. 28. Miladinovic I. 7. Cardona I. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 22. Sylla D. 98. Hachem R. (C) 4. Pierret B. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. E. 9. Ba P. M. 7. Durand D.
Substitutes
19. Annan E. 8. Appiah D. 17. Duffus J. 35. Gadegbeku L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 18. Soumahoro A.	29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 81. Haag G. 21. Hachem A. 3. Huard M. 2. Magnin T.
Coaches
Montanier P.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
55', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Pedro K. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
72', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
72', Ba P. M. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
83', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
83', Durand D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
85', Pierret B. 🟨,
87', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
90+5', Montanier P. 🟨,
90+5', Cardona I. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
90+9', Kante A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Red Star's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) El Jamali N. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Inactive) Halifa I. (Inactive) Hassen M. (Inactive)

We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Red Star: 4.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
28.02.26	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Laval	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
28.02.26	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Annecy - Red Star	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Red Star - Nancy	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Red Star - Pau	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Rodez - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Red Star - Saint-Étienne	2:1
Coupe De France
10.02.15	Red Star - Saint-Étienne	1:2

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