Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bastia		Annecy

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.42	2.88	3.1
	2.49	2.98	3.33
	2.47	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.45	2.94	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.53)	2.89 ↓ (2.99)	3.14 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
38.2%

Draw
32.2%

Annecy
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Bastia - Annecy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Annecy will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 25%). Annecy (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 5. Ariss Z. 29. Merghem M. 13. Ducrocq T. 17. Eickmayer J. 10. Boutrah A. 9. Tomi F.	1. Escales F. (G) 6. Lajugie F. 18. Drouhin A. 27. Kouadio J. 41. Delphis T. 29. Casadei A. 5. Kashi A. (C) 22. Billemaz C. 28. Larose A. 9. Rambaud T. 25. Venot P.
Substitutes
15. Bohnert F. 66. Janneh J. 8. Karamoko I. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 14. Sebas J. 7. Vincent C. 18. Zaouai A.	16. Callens T. (G) 80. Dion M. S. 11. Gomes A. 8. Hbouch A. 19. Jusseron-Veniere K. 26. Makutungu C. 2. Rowe T.
Coaches
Ray R.	Guyot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Lajugie F. ⚽,
22', Ducrocq T. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Delphis T. 🟨,
37', Ariss Z. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Rambaud T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
56', Boutrah A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
64', Rambaud T. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
64', Delphis T. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
68', Ducrocq T. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
68', Merghem M. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
69', Casadei A. 🟨,
82', Roncaglia A. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
82', Billemaz C. ↓, Makutungu C. ↑,
82', Larose A. ↓, Hbouch A. ↑,
89', Sebas J. 🟥,
90', Escales F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.

Bastia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Annecy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Guidi D. (Inactive) Parravicini N. (Hernia) Zilliox N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Annecy: Koutoune H. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Paris Q. (Inactive) Toure B. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Annecy: Jacob V. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Annecy: 1.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bastia - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Annecy - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Dunkerque - Bastia	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Reims - Bastia	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Bastia - Nancy	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Bastia - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTTL
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Annecy - Red Star	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Laval - Annecy	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Annecy - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Annecy - Clermont	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:0
04.04.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:1
27.09.24	Bastia - Annecy	2:2
27.04.24	Annecy - Bastia	3:2
07.10.23	Bastia - Annecy	2:1
15.04.23	Bastia - Annecy	3:0
01.10.22	Annecy - Bastia	0:2

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