Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 4
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Turkey	21:45	beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 6, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Tubi TV


	Saint-Étienne		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.75	3.70	4.40
	1.75	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.7	4.48
	1.73	3.8	4.49	Watch
	1.8	3.65	4.4
	1.8	3.75	4.06	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	4.25 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
52.8%

Draw
25.3%

Nantes
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saint Étienne - Nantes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 13. Ferreira J. 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 11. Old B. 14. Csongvai A. 6. Bernauer M. 20. Boakye A. 10. Breum J. 22. Davitashvili Z. 7. Cardona I.	30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 24. Guilbert F. 4. Sow S. 98. Amian K. 26. Hachem R. 44. Pierret B. 28. Sissoko I. (C) 8. Lepenant J. 37. Ganago I. 27. Robinet T.
Substitutes
32. Baallal A. 8. Ballo T. 46. Dhaoui E. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 5. Jaber M. 37. Kasia N. 15. Lamba C. 40. Lavallee L. (G)	20. Cafaro M. 18. Centonze F. 75. Cherni A. 12. Corredor K. 1. Dupe M. (G) 7. Joujou A. 19. Leroux L. 5. Perrin L. 23. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Robinet T. ↓, Corredor K. ↑,
45+2', Amian K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Boakye A. 🟨,
58', Doucoure F. 🟨,
60', Doucoure F. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
60', Sissoko I. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
62', Lepenant J. 🟨,
64', Old B. ↓, Lamba C. ↑,
64', Cardona I. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
83', Ganago I. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
83', Corredor K. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
84', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
84', Bernauer M. ↓, Jaber M. ↑,
88', Hachem R. 🟨,
88', Breum J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Boakye A. ⚽, Jaber M. (A),
90+7', Boakye A. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
90+9', Duffus J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Ligue 1 and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.

Saint-Étienne has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Nantes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Saint-Étienne carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saint-Étienne has recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:20 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saint-Étienne against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	10	8	1	1	23:8	15	25
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11:17	-6	8

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 64.5% Nantes: 1.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Saint-Étienne - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Nantes - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.55%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
17.10.26	Red Star - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Saint-Étienne - Sion	5:1
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 2
17.10.26	Nantes - Dunkerque	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Nantes - Reims	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Boulogne - Nantes	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sochaux - Nantes	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Nantes - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	1:1
29.09.24	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2
21.05.22	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	1:1
22.12.21	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	0:1
03.02.21	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	1:1
20.09.20	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2
12.01.20	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	0:2

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