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Current Win Probability
Metz 25%
Draw 26.5%
Saint-Étienne 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
27.5%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
26.9%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
30%
60%
Metz - Saint Étienne Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 70. Sarr B. (C) 42. Devenish C. 5. Ruiz J. 3. Miguel F. 8. Deminguet J. 18. Munongo B. 9. Abuashvili G. 10. Savanier T. 38. Kadamani H. 11. Fall P. M.
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 11. Old B. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bernauer M. 14. Csongvai A. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I. 10. Breum J.
Substitutes
88. Ba A. 22. Mbala N. 33. Mbodji A. 4. Mboula M. 6. Mendy N. 98. Mohamed I. 21. Pandore J. 39. Song B. 61. Sy P. (G)
32. Baallal A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 13. Ferreira J. 37. Kasia N. 15. Lamba C. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 16. Svetlin T.
Coaches
Holtz L.
Cathro I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Nair S. 🟨,
30', Munongo B. 🟨,
38', Boakye A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Deminguet J. 🟨,
58', Ballo T. ↓, Davitashvili Z. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Pedro K. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),
71', 0 - 2, Boakye A. ⚽, Csongvai A. (A),
72', Kadamani H. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
72', Munongo B. ↓, Mbodji A. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Mbodji A. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
80', Breum J. ↓, Svetlin T. ↑,
80', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
81', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
83', Ruiz J. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
86', Boakye A. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
86', Le Cardinal J. ↓, Lamba C. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Deminguet J. ⚽,
90', Pedro K. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
Metz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Saint-Étienne shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Saint-Étienne holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Marchal A.
(Inactive)
Toure A.
(Transfer negotiations).
Confirmed absences for Saint-Étienne: Eymard P.
(Foot Injury)
Paalberg M.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Metz has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:23 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metz against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).
Andorra
Asia
Canada
Croatia
Denmark
Finland
France
Netherlands
Norway
Serbia
Sweden
Turkey
Ukraine
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Fischer J. (G) 
Sarr B. (C) 
Devenish C. 
Ruiz J. 
Abuashvili G. 
Kadamani H. 
Nair S. 
Old B. 
Boakye A. 
Csongvai A. 
Ballo T. 
Cardona I. 
Mbala N. 
Mboula M. 
Mohamed I. 
Baallal A. 
Duffus J. 
Ferreira J. 
Svetlin T. 
Cathro I. 
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