Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Boulogne		Nantes

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.00	2.05	Watch
	3.50	3.20	2.10
	3.40	3.20	2.15	Watch
	3.93	3.24	2.14
	3.14	3.17	2.33	Watch
	3.75	3.20	2.10
	3.47	3.15	2.16	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
26.8%

Draw
29.6%

Nantes
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.3%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Boulogne - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Noukeu B. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Kerriou A. 20. Brusco T. 19. Binet N. (C) 14. Bultel J. 64. Epailly T. 29. Mion M. 10. Hbouch A. 17. Besic B. 11. Fatar N.	1. Dupe M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 24. Guilbert F. 5. Perrin L. (C) 4. Sow S. 26. Hachem R. 44. Pierret B. 28. Sissoko I. 20. Cafaro M. 37. Ganago I. 27. Robinet T.
Substitutes
12. Boyer J. 22. Duflos S. 13. Etonde L. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 8. Martin J. 7. Nassiri A. 15. Pinot A. 21. Platret A. 36. Soumah M.	98. Amian K. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 75. Cherni A. 7. Joujou A. 8. Lepenant J. 19. Leroux L. 17. Tabibou D. 78. Tati T. 23. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Guilbert F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Ganago I. ⚽, Sissoko I. (A),
52', 1 - 1, Binet N. ⚽, Fatar N. (A),
53', Hbouch A. ↓, Soumah M. ↑,
62', Pierret B. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
62', Cafaro M. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
65', Bultel J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
77', Mion M. 🟨,
82', Epailly T. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
82', Besic B. ↓, Etonde L. ↑,
82', Fatar N. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
83', Ganago I. ↓, Cherni A. ↑,
83', Hachem R. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
90', Doucoure F. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
90+3', Mion M. 🟨,
90+6', Noukeu B. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 17th in the Relegation ~ Ligue 3).

Boulogne has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Nantes is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nantes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Nantes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Boulogne: Lecolier M. (Inactive) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Corredor K. (Inactive) Doucoure S. (Inactive) Mirbach A. (Inactive) Mongo E. (Inactive).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Boulogne has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nantes: 4.55% Boulogne: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Boulogne - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
11.09.26	Clermont - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 2
12.09.26	Sochaux - Nantes	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Nantes - Nancy	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Guingamp - Nantes	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Nantes - Rodez	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Laval - Nantes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.03.12	Nantes - Boulogne	N/A

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