Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7.25
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.55	4.04	5.77	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.53	3.94	5.71
	1.53	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	4.13 ↑ (3.83)	6.28 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
62.7%

Draw
22.5%

Adanaspor
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.

Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sakaryaspor will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 22. Erturk M. 33. N'Koulou N. 4. Demirtas K. 5. Uzun B. 10. Aabid R. 36. Altiparmak B. 66. Mamadou M. 95. Simon N. 94. Coban B. 11. Ozegovic O.	55. Aslan N. (G) 77. Koc S. 22. Kurucuk F. 64. Guzelbay C. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 12. Donkor I. 9. Candeias D. 23. Alpsoy H. 97. Durmaz E. 11. Cinar O. 16. Cikalleshi S.
Substitutes
17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 34. Cakir B. 12. Capar O. 1. Cipe I. (G) 14. Demir E. 8. Kabov A. 77. Sismanoglu O. 2. Yavuz S.	94. Aksu E. 17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 87. Celikay K. (G) 7. Emeksiz D. 19. Midilic Y. 98. Tuzun B. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Puren I.	Keles H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Durmaz E. 🟨,
42', Demirtas K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Can Esendemir Y. 🟨,
59', Simon N. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Cikalleshi S. ⚽, Koc S. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Demirtas K. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
65', Cinar O. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
75', Mamadou M. ↓, Altintas E. ↑,
75', Erturk M. ↓, Yavuz S. ↑,
76', Aslan N. 🟨,
77', Alpsoy H. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
81', Can Esendemir Y. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Ozegovic O. (Pen),
83', Candeias D. 🟨,
88', Ozegovic O. ↓, Sismanoglu O. ↑,
88', Durmaz E. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
88', Guzelbay C. ↓, Emeksiz D. ↑,
90+3', Emeksiz D. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Sakaryaspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Adanaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Ciss A. (Yellow Cards) Diakite C. (Inactive) Fofana A. (Inactive) Tuzun B. (Inactive) Yepie Yepie S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Adanaspor: Hatipoglu H. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
31.03.25	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	2:2 ✺
06.03.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWTLL
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
29.03.25	Adanaspor - İstanbulspor	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Adanaspor	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Adanaspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.11.24	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1
09.03.24	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0
21.10.23	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	2:0
16.10.22	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	3:2
Turkish Cup
24.11.20	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 penalties

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