Match Info

1. Lig - Round 31

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.58	3.7	6.19	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.51	3.9	6.1
	1.57	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)	3.79 ↑ (3.59)	5.72 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
59.3%

Draw
24.5%

Sakaryaspor
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 72. Rivas R. 4. Vukovic J. 23. Yalcin S. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao	29. Szumski J. (G) 2. Yavuz S. 5. Uzun B. (C) 4. Demirtas K. 33. N'Koulou N. 36. Altiparmak B. 10. Aabid R. 66. Mamadou M. 21. Kakuta G. 95. Simon N. 94. Coban B.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 17. Caglayan O. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 91. Gocen A. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M.	17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 34. Cakir B. 12. Capar O. 1. Cipe I. (G) 99. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 22. Erturk M. 8. Kabov A. 11. Ozegovic O.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Puren I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Coban B. ⚽,
15', Kakuta G. ↓, Ozegovic O. ↑,
22', 1 - 1, Marcao ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Yalcin S. ⚽, Oguz A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Marcao ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
68', Mamadou M. 🟨,
71', Yavuz S. ↓, Erturk M. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Caglayan O. ⚽, Yalcin S. (A),
79', Uzun B. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
79', Aabid R. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
83', Oguz A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
83', Mendes R. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
83', Vukovic J. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
85', Coban B. 🟨,
85', Cinan M. 🟨,
87', Pedrinho 🟨,
88', Rivas R. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
90+4', Alici B. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Celik C. (Yellow Cards)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
16.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Kırklarelispor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTTW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
15.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	2:2 ✺
06.03.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.11.24	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	0:1
11.05.24	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	0:2
23.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
28.05.21	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	4:0
Club Friendly
20.08.19	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	1:1

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