Match Info

1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.62	3.62	1.85
	4.02	3.78	1.8	Watch
	4	3.7	1.73
	3.71	3.71	1.89
	3.66	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.59)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)	1.83 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
24.4%

Draw
25.1%

Bandırmaspor
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakaryaspor's form might have worsened.

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bandırmaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakaryaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bandırmaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sakaryaspor (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bandırmaspor (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Bandırmaspor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bandırmaspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 10%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 26. Kolovetsios D. 4. Cakir B. 25. Demir A. 44. Vukovic J. 8. Cihan M. 88. Erkin C. 10. Kakuta G. 7. Demir M. 9. Zwolinski L.	1. Ozcimen A. (G) 27. Alici K. 5. Kalender T. 33. Nukan A. 30. Acar E. 53. Albayrak M. 88. Esendemir Y. 92. Mulumba R. 17. Ndongala D. 9. Kehinde T. 99. Douglas Tanque
Substitutes
3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 28. Coban O. 14. Demir E. 96. Kobiljar R. 80. Kutuk S. 33. Olcay M. 93. Tantan Y. (G) 94. Tuzcu D.	16. Alkan A. (G) 24. Amaral J. 34. Aydin E. 2. Ceylan O. 8. Cinemre E. 10. Gumuskaya M. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Acar E. ↓, Gumuskaya M. ↑,
7', Yavuz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Kakuta G. 🟨,
59', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Erkin C. (A),
63', Esendemir Y. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
75', Zwolinski L. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
78', Alici K. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
78', Kehinde T. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
83', Cihan M. 🟨,
83', Kakuta G. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ndongala D. ⚽, Gumuskaya M. (A),
89', Vukovic J. 🟨,
90', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
90+2', Mulumba R. 🟨,
90+6', Nukan A. 🟨,
90+6', Szumski J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Bandırmaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bandırmaspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B. (Yellow Cards) Bayram A. (Suspended) Dursun S. (Red Card) Tekogul Y. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Hountondji C. (International duty)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bandırmaspor - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
26.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Çorum - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
27.12.25	Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.08.25	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1
09.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	2:2
27.10.24	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2
02.02.24	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	1:0
02.09.23	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1
17.04.23	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2
20.11.22	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	4:2

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