Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.6
				Watch
	2.79	3.13	2.69
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	2.64 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
35.2%

Draw
30.2%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 2. Yavuz S. 33. N'Koulou N. 4. Demirtas K. 5. Uzun B. 66. Mamadou M. 36. Altiparmak B. 21. Kakuta G. 94. Coban B. 10. Aabid R. 77. Sismanoglu O.	99. Beklevic F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 22. Tintis E. 14. Doh M. 11. Johnson D. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 70. Serginho 9. Wesley Moraes
Substitutes
17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 34. Cakir B. 12. Capar O. 1. Cipe I. (G) 14. Demir E. 22. Erturk M. 8. Kabov A. 95. Simon N.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. 5. Demirol A. 10. Dovedan N. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 17. Sivri A.
Coaches
Puren I.	Ak O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
31', Serginho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Gurpuz G. (A),
61', Kakuta G. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
63', Uzun B. 🟨,
70', Demirtas K. 🟨,
71', Sismanoglu O. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
71', Aabid R. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Cankaya A. R. ⚽,
79', Demirtas K. ↓, Capar O. ↑,
79', Capar O. 🟨,
83', Serginho ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
83', Gurpuz G. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
90+5', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
90+5', Johnson D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Sivri A. (A),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Karagümrük is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
23.02.25	Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sakaryaspor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
13.02.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sakaryaspor - Çorum	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Iskenderunspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
22.02.25	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor	4:0
Turkish Second League Play Offs
28.05.19	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
24.03.18	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor	1:2
05.11.17	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0

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