Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 18

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Location: Sakarya Atatürk Stadi (Adapazari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sakaryaspor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	2.85	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.96	3.59	2.34
	2.96	3.59	2.34
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.45	2.24
	2.8	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.47)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	2.27 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
32.3%

Draw
26.8%

Göztepe
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakaryaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Göztepe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Sakaryaspor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Göztepe will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 2. Ulgen A. 12. Donkor I. 33. Dikmen E. 5. Uzun B. 20. Kilic H. 21. Roshi O. 6. Rotman R. 10. Suleyman B. 28. Del Valle Y. 17. Akpinar M.	1. Lis M. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 4. Altikardes T. 15. Serbest T. 24. Nielsen L. 12. Koybasi I. (C) 21. Erdogan D. 30. Kayan Y. 7. Traore A. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 43. Tijanic D.
Substitutes
61. Cevahir B. 13. Demir I. (G) 45. Dimitrov Z. 4. Kasongo K. 3. Menderes C. 27. Sanli B. 25. Simon N. 77. Uzun U. 70. Yildirim O.	50. Akdag U. 19. Gedik E. 5. Heliton 11. Ildiz A. 14. Lundqvist R. 33. Nukan A. 13. Ozcimen A. (G) 88. Uzum F. 78. Yildiz Y. (G) 6. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Sanli T.	Stoilov S.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Sakaryaspor in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Göztepe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Göztepe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sakaryaspor have a series of home games.

Göztepe will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Sacko H. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Palmer R. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Sakaryaspor - Rapid Bucureşti	3:3 ✺
Turkish First League
23.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Ankaraspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW
- Göztepe
Turkish First League
24.12.23	Bodrumspor - Göztepe	3:0 ✺
20.12.23	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	5:1 ✺
10.12.23	Gençlerbirliği - Göztepe	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Göztepe - 1461 Trabzon	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
03.12.23	Göztepe - Giresunspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.08.23	Göztepe - Sakaryaspor	0:1
14.01.23	Göztepe - Sakaryaspor	0:1
14.08.22	Sakaryaspor - Göztepe	0:1
Turkish Cup
31.10.12	Göztepe - Sakaryaspor	2:1

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