Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.95	3.3	2.49
	2.91	3.14	2.48	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.86	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
32.5%

Draw
28.9%

Kocaelispor
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 19. Karayel C. 54. Dursun S. 3. Dikmen E. 5. Uzun B. 10. Aabid R. 95. Simon N. 22. Erturk M. 8. Akpinar M. 26. Saint-Louis D. 9. Fernando Andrade	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 15. Serbest T. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 4. Vukovic J. 8. Celik C. 7. Beridze G. 17. Caglayan O. 20. Mendes R.
Substitutes
17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 12. Capar O. 1. Cipe I. (G) 14. Demir E. 4. Demirtas K. 30. Egri V. 11. Pektemek M. 20. Totre E. 24. Ugurlu A.	70. Alici B. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 10. Marcao 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Bakkal M.	Saglam E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Beridze G. ⚽,
40', Akpinar M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
41', Celik C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erturk M. ↓, Pektemek M. ↑,
49', Sagat A. 🟨,
56', Altintas E. 🟥,
57', Dursun S. 🟨,
58', Alici B. 🟨,
65', Dikmen E. 🟨,
65', Cinan M. 🟨,
74', Beridze G. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
74', Caglayan O. ↓, Marcao ↑,
74', Celik C. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
75', Simon N. ↓, Totre E. ↑,
78', Pektemek M. 🟨,
90+1', Saint-Louis D. ↓, Egri V. ↑,
90+1', Uzun B. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
90+6', Mendes R. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
90+11', Pedrinho 🟨,
90+12', Pedrinho ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Recent matches Sakaryaspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kocaelispor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Simon N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Sarman H. A. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
03.11.24	Yeni Malatyaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor	4:0 ✺
29.09.24	Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
02.11.24	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
30.09.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
11.05.24	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	0:2
23.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
28.05.21	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	4:0
Club Friendly
20.08.19	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	1:1

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