Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.2
	1.90	3.38	3.95	Watch
	2.18	3.14	3.44
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	3.48 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
44.5%

Draw
28.8%

Sakaryaspor
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Vanspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sakaryaspor (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 40. Lucas Africo 61. Genc F. C. 44. Secgin E. 11. Xesc 22. Destici S. 10. Jefferson 41. Ozcan M. 19. Bikoue 76. Kara B. C.	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 5. Ciftpinar S. 22. Okumus A. 77. Erdogan E. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 54. Coban B. 12. Ben Yedder W. 10. Kakuta G.
Substitutes
45. Bars E. 18. Bilal H. 65. Bingol M. 53. Cavusoglu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 6. Jevsenak Z. 17. Manis M. 8. Traore A. 77. Usta G. 7. Vlachomitros A.	3. Acil O. 36. Altiparmak B. 61. Bayram A. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Cakir B. 8. Cihan M. 25. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 96. Kobiljar R. 94. Tuzcu D.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', Demir M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Xesc ⚽, Destici S. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Ben Yedder W. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
43', Bikoue 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Ozcan M. ⚽, Genc F. C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Dursun S. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Coban B. ⚽, Erdogan E. (A),
72', Demir M. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
74', Secgin E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
74', Lucas Africo ↓, Cavusoglu M. ↑,
75', Ozcan M. 🟨,
79', Erdogan E. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
85', Genc F. C. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
87', Kakuta G. 🟨,
88', 3 - 2, Bikoue ⚽, Kara B. C. (A),
90+3', Ciftpinar S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
90+3', Okumus A. ↓, Tuzcu D. ↑,
90+3', Kara B. C. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 0.

Vanspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sakaryaspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vanspor: Coksu M. (Inactive) Kesici T. (Inactive) Olmez S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Sanli B. (Inactive) Turken A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Ciftpinar S. (Injury) Zwolinski L. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Fatsa Belediyespor - Vanspor	3:4 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Adana Demirspor - Vanspor	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Vanspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Erzurumspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Sakaryaspor - İnegölspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Adana Demirspor - Sakaryaspor	0:6 ✺
05.10.25	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
06.02.22	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	1:1
02.10.21	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
16.05.21	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:0
12.05.21	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	0:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.02.21	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	1:1
14.10.20	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0
03.11.19	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	4:2

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