Match Info

1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.72	3.48	2.29	Watch
	2.79	3.67	2.39
	2.71	3.7	2.33	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.66	3.38	2.28
	3.2	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.91)	3.46 ↓ (3.66)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
33%

Draw
26.5%

Sarıyer
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

24.4%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.23) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. (C) 24. Dursun S. 4. Cakir B. 3. Terzi E. 10. Pena S. 44. Vukovic J. 2. Ruan Teixeira 7. Demir M. 27. Owusu 91. Bostan M.	23. Bayram M. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 20. Osmanpasa C. 19. Bayram O. (C) 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 27. Kulasin E. 53. Poko A. 88. Silva M. 70. Camara M. 90. Eze E.
Substitutes
8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 14. Demir E. 85. Fofana M. 43. Kocaman A. 22. Okumus A. 16. Sen K. 19. Soro I. 99. Yildirim P. 9. Zwolinski L.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 9. Dembele P. M. 35. Kara A. 91. Kor B. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 4. Ozer F. 7. Regattin A. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Dalci M.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Terzi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bostan M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
46', Ruan Teixeira ↓, Demir E. ↑,
46', Terzi E. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
70', Mert M. 🟨,
72', Camara M. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
82', Demir M. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
82', Pena S. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
90+1', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
90+4', Eze E. ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
90+4', Kulasin E. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
90+5', Dursun S. 🟨,
90+5', Bayram O. 🟨,
90+6', Dembele P. M. 🟨,
90+7', Vukovic J. 🟨,
90+7', Vukovic J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3.

Sakaryaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sarıyer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bekaroglu B. (Yellow Cards) Erkin C. (Red Card) Turken A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Djilobodji P. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLL
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
23.02.26	Sarıyer - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Erzurumspor - Sarıyer	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.10.25	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.01.22	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	4:1
12.09.21	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	2:0
Turkish Second League Play Offs
21.05.19	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	0:0
17.05.19	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	4:0
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.19	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:1
08.09.18	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	1:2

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