Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 27 January 2023, Friday


	Salam Zgharta		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	3.65	3.57	1.93
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.65	3.22	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.2	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.11)	3.2 ↑ (3.02)	2 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salam Zgharta
26.2%

Draw
28.4%

Tadamon Sour
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salam Zgharta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salam Zgharta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Preview

Salam Zgharta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tadamon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Tadamon have a series of home games.

Tadamon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Salam Zgharta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salam Zgharta
Lebanese Premier League
21.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Tripoli - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLTT
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
22.01.23	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	3:2 ✺
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
11.12.22	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:1

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