Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Salamanca		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.75	2.88	2.6
	2.84	2.84	2.35
	3.08	2.95	2.54
	3	2.9	2.4
	3.09	3.02	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.28)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)	2.47 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
31.7%

Draw
31.3%

Burgos
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.5%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

20.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salamanca's form might have worsened.

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salamanca - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.20	UD Logroñés - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	Real Unión de Irun - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
19.01.20	Salamanca - Amorebieta	0:3 ✺
11.01.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.20	Burgos - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Calahorra - Burgos	0:3 ✺
26.01.20	Burgos - Haro Deportivo	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Alavés B - Burgos	2:2 ✺
12.01.20	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
03.10.19	Salamanca - Burgos	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.09.19	Burgos - Salamanca	1:0

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