Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Salernitana		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.00	4.80
	1.57	3.60	4.70	Watch
	1.54	4.29	6.02
	1.63	3.92	4.6	Watch
	1.49	4.20	5.95
	1.54	4.06	5.73	Watch
	1.49	4.20	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	4.04 ↑ (3.65)	5.31 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
59.9%

Draw
22.8%

Giugliano
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

19%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salernitana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Salernitana - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 16. Llano Massa M. T. 5. Celiento D. 73. Pieraccini S. 3. Zoia R. 7. Achik I. 8. Tascone M. (C) 32. Vitale M. 14. Villa L. 11. D'Ursi E. 20. La Gumina A.	1. Bolletta L. (G) 16. Improta R. 5. Pedro Justiniano 24. Caldore M. 33. La Vardera S. 21. Forciniti L. 64. Varone I. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 17. Esposito G. 11. Galletta U. 10. Balde I.
Substitutes
33. Anastasio A. 99. Bevilacqua M. 21. Boncori L. 19. Capuano M. 77. Cardoni K. 1. Cevers L. (G) 27. Del Pin A. 4. Gyabuaa E. 10. Lescano F. 28. Longobardi G. 17. Varela Djamanca M.	79. Basile G. 6. Broh J. 19. Cimmaruta A. 99. Cuomo S. 15. D'Avino L. 31. Giordano L. 77. Greco S. (G) 23. Laezza G. 26. Minelli A. 90. Ogunseye R. 3. Panico C. 36. Rigo M. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 28. Silvestri P. 4. Zammarini R.
Coaches
Cosmi S.	Napoli R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Celiento D. ⚽,
43', Caldore M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zoia R. ↓, Anastasio A. ↑,
51', Balde I. 🟨,
51', 🟨,
67', Improta R. ↓, D'Avino L. ↑,
67', Forciniti L. ↓, Zammarini R. ↑,
67', Achik I. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
73', Tascone M. ↓, Gyabuaa E. ↑,
73', D'Ursi E. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
73', Pedro Justiniano ↓, Laezza G. ↑,
74', De Rosa R. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
80', Galletta U. ↓, Cimmaruta A. ↑,
81', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
82', Villa L. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent outings, Salernitana has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Giugliano is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Salernitana is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Salernitana has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salernitana against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Barletta - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Foggia - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Salernitana - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTTL
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
11.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Casarano - Giugliano	4:3 ✺
21.08.26	Giugliano - Scafatese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:1
21.09.25	Giugliano - Salernitana	1:2

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