Match Info

Serie B - Play Out - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Salernitana		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
				Watch
	2.13	3.41	3.73
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.17	3.42	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.51)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
43.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sampdoria
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salernitana's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Salernitana - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sampdoria (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Salernitana (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sampdoria (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sampdoria (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sampdoria (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 29. Ghiglione P. 16. Corazza T. 47. Lochoshvili L. 33. Ferrari G. M. 13. Ruggeri F. 98. Zuccon F. 73. Amatucci L. 90. Cerri A. 31. Verde D. 21. Soriano R.	94. Cragno A. (G) 5. Riccio A. 44. Ioannou N. 23. Depaoli F. 28. Yepes G. 4. Vieira R. 26. Altare G. 25. Ferrari A. 20. Oudin R. 19. Niang M. 33. Sibilli G.
Substitutes
15. Bronn D. 18. Caligara F. 72. Girelli S. 44. Jaroszynski P. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 9. Simy 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F.	90. Abiuso F. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Bellemo A. 24. Bereszynski B. 21. Beruatto P. 9. Coda M. 2. Curto M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 17. Meulensteen M. 8. Ricci M. 84. Sekulov N. 18. Venuti L.
Coaches
Marino P.	Evani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Coda M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Sibilli G. ⚽,
64', Raimondo A. ↓, Simy ↑,
64', Soriano R. ↓, Verde D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 2.

Salernitana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sampdoria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Salernitana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
15.06.25	Salernitana - Frosinone	N/A ✺
15.06.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Cittadella - Salernitana	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Salernitana - Mantova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LWLW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
15.06.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
01.05.25	Sampdoria - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.06.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	2:0
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0
Italian Serie A
05.03.23	Sampdoria - Salernitana	0:0
28.08.22	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0
16.04.22	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:2

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