Match Info
ITALY: Serie B - Round 9Date: 19 October 2024, SaturdayLocation: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | DAZN Italia |
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Salernitana |
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Spezia |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Salernitana
37.1% | Draw
31.2% | Spezia
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
55.  Sepe L. (G)
30.  Stojanovic P.
33. Ferrari G. M.
15.  Bronn D.
17.  Njoh L.
21. Soriano R.
25. Maggiore G.
70.  Tello A.
31. Verde D.
9.  Simy
24.  Braaf J.
| 66. Gori S. (G)
2.  Wisniewski P.
37.  Mateju A.
55.  Hristov P.
32. Vignali L.
25. Bandinelli F.
5. Esposito Sa.
7. Elia S.
20. Di Serio G.
27. Soleri E.
13. Reca A.
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| Substitutes |
12. Corriere F. (G)
1. Fiorillo V. (G)
2. Gentile D.
29. Ghiglione P.
44. Jaroszynski P.
11.  Kallon Y.
13. Ruggeri F.
77.  Sfait A.
7. Tongya F.
10.  Torregrossa E.
4. Velthuis T.
20. Wlodarczyk S.
| 44. Benvenuto M.
77. Bertola N.
36. Candelari P.
29. Cassata F.
17.  Colak A.
6. Degli Innocenti D.
9. Esposito F.
11. Falcinelli D.
4.  Ferrer S.
65. Giorgeschi S.
12. Mascardi D. (G)
8.  Nagy A.
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| Coaches |
Martusciello G.
| D'Angelo L.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Braaf J. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
- 54', Tello A. 🟨,
- 55', Maggiore G. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Soleri E. ⚽,
- 61', Soriano R. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
- 71', Soleri E. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 71', Reca A. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
- 72', Tello A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 72', Stojanovic P. ↓, Sfait A. ↑,
- 73', Elia S. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 2, Bertola N. ⚽,
- 75', Verde D. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 85', Di Serio G. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 88', Bandinelli F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2. Recent matches Salernitana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Spezia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G.
(Thigh Injury)There are questionable in Spezia: Crespi G. M.
(Tendon Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:25 (average 1.1:1.6). Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Coppa Italia | | | 12.08.24 | Salernitana - Spezia | 4:3 penalties | | Italian Serie A | | | 02.04.23 | Spezia - Salernitana | 1:1 | | 22.10.22 | Salernitana - Spezia | 1:0 | | 07.02.22 | Salernitana - Spezia | 2:2 | | 16.10.21 | Spezia - Salernitana | 2:1 | | Italian Serie B | | | 31.07.20 | Salernitana - Spezia | 1:2 | | 29.12.19 | Spezia - Salernitana | 2:1 |
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