Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Mantova		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.75
	2.4	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.54	3.35	2.92
	2.53	3.22	2.91	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.83	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.55)	3.32 ↑ (3.22)	2.84 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
38.4%

Draw
28.4%

Salernitana
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	64.3%	14.3%

Mantova - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 6. Bani C. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. 70. Aramu M. 14. Galuppini F. 7. Mensah D. 18. Ruocco F.	55. Sepe L. (G) 2. Gentile D. 15. Bronn D. 4. Velthuis T. 17. Njoh L. 70. Tello A. 73. Amatucci L. 7. Tongya F. 31. Verde D. 9. Simy 14. Valencia D.
Substitutes
24. Artioli F. 30. Bragantini D. 29. Cella S. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 27. Maggioni T. 19. Mancuso L. 28. Muroni M. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 8. Hrustic A. 44. Jaroszynski P. 13. Ruggeri F. 77. Sfait A. 30. Stojanovic P. 20. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Martusciello G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Redolfi A. ↓, Solini M. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Galuppini F. ⚽,
57', Gentile D. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
57', Valencia D. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
57', Tello A. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
66', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
66', Aramu M. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
66', Simy ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
79', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
79', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
79', Velthuis T. 🟨,
86', Tongya F. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
87', Hrustic A. 🟨,
87', Torregrossa E. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Mantova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mantova have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
28.08.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Mantova - Nuova Cosenza	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Reggiana - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Lecce - Mantova	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Sassari Torres - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Salernitana	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Salernitana - Spezia	4:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Bari - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT

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