Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Salgueiros 08		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.95	2.1
	3.79	2.97	2.17
	3.79	2.92	2.15
	3.56	3.04	2.03
	3.4	3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4.09)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	2.11 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salgueiros 08
25.8%

Draw
30.8%

Amarante
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

27.2%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Salgueiros is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amarante is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Salgueiros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amarante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salgueiros won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salgueiros won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Rebordosa - Salgueiros 08	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Salgueiros 08 - Paredes	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	Marco 09 - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Salgueiros 08 - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Amarante - Lamelas	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Paredes - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.11.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Amarante - São João de Ver	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Florgrade - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.05.23	Salgueiros 08 - Amarante	0:0
07.05.23	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Salgueiros 08 - Amarante	3:0
08.11.20	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	0:0
26.11.17	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	2:1

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