Match Info

National League South - Round 29

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Salisbury		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.16	3.55	3.15
	2.12	3.72	3.04	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.2	3.66	2.93
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	3.05 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
43.4%

Draw
26.3%

Chippenham Town
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Salisbury - Chippenham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chippenham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Revan D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Salisbury is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chippenham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Salisbury is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
14.02.26	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Salisbury - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
14.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chippenham Town	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.11.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	2:2
18.01.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	0:1
21.09.24	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
29.10.16	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	2:3

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