Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.95	6.5
	1.36	5.24	7.15
	1.35	5.2	7.37	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.4	4.76	6.87
	1.35	5	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	4.99 ↓ (5.1)	6.84 ↓ (8.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
67.9%

Draw
18.5%

Chippenham Town
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.2%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Casey P. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Phillips B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Rutherford A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 3.

Dorking is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chippenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dorking has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dorking is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
17.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
17.01.26	Chippenham Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:4 ✺
13.01.26	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Totton - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
14.12.24	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2
17.08.24	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	1:0
15.04.22	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	3:0
04.12.21	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	4:1
06.02.21	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	Canceled
28.12.19	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:2

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