Match Info

National League South - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking) 🌤️ ...


	Dorking Wanderers		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.25	4.85
	1.53	4.63	5.36
	1.52	4.59	5.2	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.57	4.3	4.98
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	4.41 ↑ (4.4)	5.07 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
60.7%

Draw
21%

Salisbury
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

20.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorking (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Casey P. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Camp B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 3 - 0, Prior J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Dorking is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Salisbury	13	7	4	2	23:9	14	25
9	Dorking	13	5	6	2	29:21	8	21

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 5.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
24.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLW
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
24.01.26	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Salisbury - Worthing	5:4 ✺
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salisbury - Totton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	4:2
27.09.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
English National League South
08.02.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
19.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:3

Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury