Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2	3.5	3.3
	2.1	3.52	3.29
	2.20	3.29	3.16	Watch
	2.12	3.51	3.2
	1.93	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.19)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
44.9%

Draw
26.6%

Farnborough
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hornchurch - Farnborough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Greenidge W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Oyenuga J. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Hearn H. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, Balanta A. ⚽,

Preview

Farnborough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Farnborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Farnborough has had a series of home games.

Hornchurch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Redbridge - Hornchurch	1:5 ✺
English National League South
26.04.25	Chippenham Town - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Farnborough
English National League South
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Farnborough - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Farnborough - Portsmouth	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.03.25	Farnborough - Hornchurch	0:1
03.09.24	Hornchurch - Farnborough	1:0
02.03.13	Farnborough - Hornchurch	1:1
29.09.12	Hornchurch - Farnborough	1:1

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